The following college football guide to buying the hook suggests the circumstances under which that “hook,” the half-point, helps and hinders the sports bettor. It is based on closing college football betting lines from 11 seasons: 2003-2013. The nine numbers represented constitute nine of the most-frequent hooks in college football betting.
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HOOK | EDGE | BUY THE HOOK AT THIS PRICE? | ||
-120
(Edge must be > 4.33%) |
-125
(Edge must be > 6.35%) |
-130
(Edge must be > 8.28%) |
||
-1.5 | 2.87% | NO | NO | NO |
-3.5 | 7.34% | YES | YES | NO |
-7.5 | 5.33% | YES | NO | NO |
-10.5 | 3.92% | NO | NO | NO |
-14.5 | 4.41% | YES | NO | NO |
+2.5 | 8.41% | YES | YES | YES |
+6.5 | 6.64% | YES | YES | NO |
+9.5 | 4.19% | NO | NO | NO |
+13.5 | 4.38% | YES | NO | NO |
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